
Nonetheless, such a working pattern seems somewhat irrational. Indeed rational labour-market theory proposes that those taxi drivers would work longer hours on busy days, when their hourly wage-rate is higher. Nonetheless such a seemingly irrational behaviour has been explained in terms of prospect theory (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979), which describes how people make decisions between alternatives that involve risk by evaluating potential losses and gains. Prospect theory that claims that people are generally ‘loss averse’ i.e. they get less utility for say gaining £1000 than they would lose if they lost the same amount. People set a reference point and evaluate outcomes as gains or losses relative to that point. This idea can explain the working patterns of taxi drivers described above: achieving the set daily target (reference point) is seen as a win minimising incentive to keep working. On the other hand, failing to achieve the daily income target is seen as loss, and the loss aversion tendency makes taxi drivers work longer to avoid loss altogether.
I can’t help but think that for my uncle who is still swimming in debt, trying not to drown, this will be great news. After all, he was not the only one...
Hardman, D (2009). Judgement and Decision Making: Psychological perspectives. Chichester: Backwell.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47 , 263-291.
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